By Daniel Feliciano

15th Mar, 2023 | 7:10pm

Predicting the Everton final points tally as Premier League relegation battle on with 11 games to go

Everton may have moved away from the relegation zone with their most recent win over Brentford, but you’ll be hard pressed to find a fan who thinks they’re safe.

The Toffees are currently sitting in 15th place in the Premier League table with just six wins from 27 games this season, leaving them just one point above the relegation zone but also just two points off 12th place.

The league is so tight right now and with 11 games to go, there are some really tough games in the run-in for Sean Dyche to navigate. Everyone has an opinion on how it’s going to go, so lets predict the final games and see how many points we’re likely to end up with, and see how that stands us in history for the relegation battle.

Chelsea (A) – Lose (+0pts)

A couple of weeks ago it wouldn’t have been outrageous to suggest that we could possibly sneak a result here.

But Chelsea are back on track now and our form away from home has been horrible this season, so a realistic prediction would be a loss and anything extra that comes would be a bonus

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Tottenham (H) – Win (+3pts)

Our home form at Goodison Park has been excellent since Dyche took charge, and Tottenham have been consistently inconsistent this season.

The fans can really push us to get a big result in this game and Spurs aren’t exactly the most creative team at the moment, so another 1-0 win is on the cards.

Manchester United – Lose (+0pts)

This is obviously an incredibly tough fixture, and Man United are in really good form right now despite the 7-0 loss down the road a few weeks ago.

Much like the Chelsea game though, our away form is horrible and they’re really good, so a loss seems like the most realistic option.

Fulham (H) – Draw (+1pts)

The home form is going to be a big thing for how our season ends, and the game against Fulham will be a big chance to get points on the board again.

Marco Silva’s side will be pushing for a European place and they’ve been good all season, so a draw here wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world.

Crystal Palace (A) – Draw (+1pts)

We have to get some points on the road somewhere, and Palace are really struggling so far this season to get a consistent run of results together.

Their fans are excellent, but if Everton can frustrate them they’ll quieten down and that will give our squad a chance to get a big point in the battle against relegation.

Newcastle United (H) – Lose (+0pts)

We can’t win every game at home and we know that, but it will take a really good side to beat us.

Newcastle are exactly that and with their excellent defensive record so far plus their individual quality in attack, they’ll probably have the edge here.

Leicester City (A) – Win (+3pts)

A long-awaited away win is likely to come against one of the teams in and around the battle for relegation, and Leicester seems like a great chance for that to happen.

Their form has been poor and they’re either really good or really bad. With our quality in defence under Dyche plus their struggles from set-pieces, expect a Dyche masterclass on the road.

Brighton (A) – Lose (+0pts)

The Seagulls are undoubtedly the greatest story of the season so far, and they’ve been beating everyone when given the chance.

At Goodison Park Everton might have a chance, but on the road it’s a long shot so a loss seems far more likely.

Manchester City (H) – Lose (+0pts)

City in a title run-in have proven to be almost unbeatable at times in the past, and the way we set up defensively plays right into their style. Anything other than a loss would be a huge surprise, even at home.

Wolverhampton (A) – Draw (+1pts)

Wolves are still in the relegation spots as it stands right now, but by the time this fixture comes around it’s very possible that they won’t be.

Even if they are though, Everton will know exactly what they need to do by this point and the likelihood is both teams look to avoid defeat rather than push for victory and sharing the points looks like a likely choice.

Bournemouth (H) – Win (+3pts)

Potentially a must-win game at Goodison Park to ensure survival, there’s no way the players and the fans will let us down against another relegation struggler, right?

Bournemouth are more likely to already be relegated by the time this comes around, but even if they’re not they’ll be in direct competition with us which should see our greater quality shine through.

Final tally – 37 points

The last team to be relegated with a final tally of 37 points was Newcastle United way back in 2015/16, so history is on the side of Everton if we can match the expectations on the pitch.

The home form is going to be absolutely crucial, but Dyche has shown since being here that he can get results when it matters and the fans are behind the team again, so survival is certainly not out of our realm of possibility.