Everton and Nottingham Forest have been hit by point deductions

Everton: Supercomputer makes Premier League relegation prediction after Nottingham Forest news

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Published on:

19 Mar 2024, 1:20 am

A supercomputer has predicted what chance Everton have of staying in the Premier League following the Nottingham Forest points deduction.

Forest had four points taken away on Monday (18 March) and are therefore now in the relegation zone, one point behind Luton Town.

Everton are four points above the Reds with a game in hand, although they are also expected to face a second points deduction next month.

As things stand, though, Opta Analyst has given Everton a 3.3-per-cent chance of being relegated from the Premier League this season.

That compares to a 5.1-per-cent likelihood prior to Forest being deducted any points.

Who are the Premier League relegation favourites?

By comparison, Nuno Espirito Santo's side have gone from having a 13.4-per-cent chance of relegation to 37.5 per cent in a large increase.

Luton are ultimately the big winners in all this, as they know Everton are also likely to slip down the standings in the near future.

However, despite that, Opta still have Luton to go down along with current bottom two Sheffield United and Burnley. Everton are projected to finish in 16th.

This supercomputer uses various different metrics to work out how many more points a team is likely to get before the season concludes.

What it cannot predict, though, is exactly how many points Everton are going to lose when the PSR verdict drops very soon.

Everton awaiting latest PSR verdict

A four-point deduction would not be great, of course, but they would still be favourites over Forest to stay up as of today.

A six-point deduction, though, which is what they received earlier in the campaign after an appeal, would make things very difficult.

Sean Dyche has a big task on his hands keeping Everton in the Premier League

Either way, all Everton can now for now is get some points on the board, which has been easier said than done so far this year.

Not every result turns out the way you would expect, and it may well be that one or two upsets are required.

Ultimately, though, this deduction is a positive for the Toffees, even if the joy is only short-lived.

In other Everton news, a BBC journalist is baffled after outlining evidence that shows why the Toffees have been treated differently.

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