Everton boss David Moyes
David MoyesImago

Everton’s 2026-27 Premier League relegation chances predicted by supercomputer

Declan Carr

Senior Correspondent AUTHORITY Senior sports journalist with experience at Sports Mole and VAVEL; Masters graduate from Liverpool John Moores University. FOCUS Breaking news, long-form analysis, and club-level insight across the Breaking Media network. THE INSIGHT Declan utilises a network of club and industry contacts to deliver verified, high-speed reporting. He provides the depth behind the headlines — from breaking news to analytical deep-dives — to ensure fans get the full story as it happens.

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Everton will not plan on being dragged into the relegation battle in the new campaign.

David Moyes' side finished 13th in the Premier League, just four points off a Europa Conference League spot.

The Blues have signed the likes of Hayden Hackney, Tyrique George and Brennan Johnson, to try and get closer to the European places.

While they have aspirations of continental football, they may still have to keep an eye over their shoulder.

Any drop in form at the Hill Dickinson Stadium could be punished and could see the Toffees plummet towards the drop zone.

A supercomputer has revealed its predictions for the 2026-27 season that could have supporters worried.

Everton's relegation chances rated as new prediction made

The L3 outfit will not be thinking about relegation, they have much higher aspirations

However, the Opta Analyst supercomputer believes that they have a 13.6 per cent chance of dropping to the second tier.

Hull City are the favourites with a chance of 38.7 per cent, with Ipswich next at 31.2 per cent then Coventry with a 27.9 per cent likelihood.

Sunderland and Fulham are handed a 25.9 per cent and a 23.4 per cent chance of finishing in the bottom three.

While Leeds (22.5 per cent), Crystal Palace (20 per cent), Nottingham Forest (18.1 per cent) and Brentford (16.3 per cent) all have higher chances than the Blues.

It seems like it would take a particular set of circumstances for the Merseysiders to find themselves in trouble.

Everton boss David Moyes
Everton 2026-27: Key dates for supporters to look out for ahead of new Premier League season

How could Everton be dragged into relegation battle?

The most likely culprit would be injuries, as if several players had issues at the same time it may put the Toffees in danger.

It would likely have to be a centre-back crisis with Jarrad Branthwaite, James Tarkowski and Michael Keane all out to put Moyes' side in that scenario.

The lack of business could also strike trouble for the Blues, if Thierno Barry and Beto do not perform when leading the line.

The right-back problem could also rear its head again, with Moyes forced to utilise Jake O'Brien and Merlin Rohl heavily in that position in pre-season.

If they don't bring one in, then it could lead to a nightmare situation.

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